Pakistan's power purchase price projected at Rs27.309/unit in 2027, procurement cost at Rs3.55 trillion

Profit reported that Pakistan's power purchase price is forecast to reach Rs27.309 per kilowatt-hour in calendar year 2027, while the Central Power Purchasing Agency-Guarantee Limited (CPPA-G) estimates total procurement costs of Rs3.55 trillion under its base case. These projections have been filed for the rebasing of consumer tariffs for ex-Wapda distribution companies, a change due to take effect on January 1, 2027.

The National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) has set a public hearing for November 3, 2026, at 2 pm, with remote attendance possible through Zoom. CPPA-G has projected purchase prices from Rs25.883 to Rs29.255 per unit across six scenarios, and its base case assumes demand growth of 2.60% and a dollar rate of Rs279. Under the two worst cases, the exchange rate is set to weaken to Rs290 per dollar, pushing the price up to Rs28.835 and Rs29.255 per unit.

Of the base-case total, Rs1.91 trillion, or Rs14.717 per unit, comes from capacity charges, while fuel accounts for Rs1.32 trillion, which equals Rs10.141 per unit. The figure is a power purchase estimate rather than the final retail tariff, since taxes, duties, subsidies and other components will also shape consumer rates. Comments and objections can be lodged at the November 3 hearing, and the revised reference costs for CY27 will be set only after Nepra completes its review.